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Realistic ortho chances or time to face the music?

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Lower mid 240 on step1 (242-245), just starting rotations. Charting outcomes 2018 has ortho avg at 248 so by this data obviously I have a chance, BUT I feel might be getting kinda outdated for ortho and others like this as I have heard from students in years above/recently matched that the bar has begun to creep well into the 250s for those who are actually ranked to match. Factual? Coupled to this my tolerance for the risk of going unmatched/reapplying with research year etc. is on the low...

Realistic ortho chances or time to face the music?

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